Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

AAutomatic Data Processing (ADP) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.21 per share, beating Zacks consensus estimate of $2.07 per share. That compares to earnings of $1.89 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.

This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 6.76%. A quarter ago, this payroll and human resources company was expected to post earnings of $1.63 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.65, delivering a surprise of 1.23%.

In the past four quarters, the company has exceeded consensus EPS estimates four times.

ADP, which is part of Zacks’ outsourcing business, posted revenue of $4.51 billion for the three months ended March 2022, beating Zacks’ consensus estimate of 1.23%. That compares to revenues of $4.1 billion a year ago. The company has exceeded consensus revenue estimates four times in the past four quarters.

The sustainability of the immediate stock price movement based on recently released numbers and future earnings forecasts will primarily depend on management’s comments on the earnings call.

ADP stock has lost around 9.9% since the start of the year compared to a decline of -12.4% for the S&P 500.

What’s next for ADP?

While ADP has outperformed the market so far this year, the question on investors’ minds is: what’s next for the stock?

There is no easy answer to this key question, but a reliable measure that can help investors answer it is the company’s earnings outlook. This includes not only current consensus earnings expectations for the upcoming quarter(s), but also how those expectations have changed recently.

Empirical research shows a strong correlation between short-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track these revisions on their own or rely on a proven scoring tool like Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.

Before that Press release, the trend of estimate revisions for ADP: favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions may change following the release of the company’s earnings report, the current situation results in a Zacks No. 2 (buy) ranking for the stock. Thus, stocks are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the full list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

It will be interesting to see how the estimates for the next few quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $1.48 on $3.99 billion in revenue for the upcoming quarter and $6.82 on $16.3 billion in revenue for the current fiscal year.

Investors should be aware that the outlook for the sector can also have a significant impact on stock performance. In terms of Zacks industry rankings, outsourcing currently sits in the bottom 42% of over 250 Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of industries ranked by Zacks outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.

Another stock in the same sector, Brink’s (BCO), has yet to report its results for the quarter ending March 2022. The results are expected to be released on May 10.

This armored vehicle company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.94 per share in its next report, representing a year-over-year change of +14.6%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter remained unchanged for the past 30 days.

Brink’s revenue is expected to be $1.07 billion, up 9.4% from the year-ago quarter.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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